Polymarket Trader

AutisticWhaleShark

0xe854b66c7cf90c52d3c76ce6b024c68384a3269f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.06K
Realized PnL: $30.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $5.06K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $19.94K
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: -$7.44K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.8%
Current value: $19.94K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $5.06K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $7.44K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $16K
User PnL: -$112

No position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $4.05K
Potential payout: $8.02K
Potential profit: $3.97K
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1.09K

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $3.96K
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $4.04K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $880.04

Yes position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $133.5

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.19K
User PnL: -$322.86

Yes position

Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$12.6

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$103.54

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$160

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $470.2
Potential payout: $803.77
Potential profit: $333.56
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $44.21

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Predators

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$442

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $547.97
Potential profit: $547.97
User PnL: -$71.58

Yes position

Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $534
Potential profit: $534
User PnL: -$427.17

Canadiens position

Stars vs. Canadiens

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $463.41
Potential profit: $463.41
User PnL: -$43.13

No position

Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will Ryan Trevino be the Democratic nominee for TX-28?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.66
Potential profit: $187.66
User PnL: -$23.37

Yes position

Cardano ETF in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.96
Potential profit: $159.96
User PnL: -$121.98

No position

Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117
Potential profit: $117
User PnL: -$10.36

Yes position

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$28.82

Albany Great Danes position

Albany Great Danes vs. Maine Black Bears

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.4
Potential profit: $55.4
User PnL: -$42.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.43K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98K

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

No position

Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

No position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $990

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $928.22

No position

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $863.68

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $749.62

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $699.74

No position

Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $645.49

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.38

No position

Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $569.55

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $551.96

Ansem position

Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $539.99

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $477.8

No position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $472.29

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450

No position

MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.74

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?

No 9% 100 shares
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?

No 8% 17 shares
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?

Yes 10.4% 126.06 shares
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?

Yes 8.5% 237.35 shares
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?

No 95.8% 58.96 shares
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?

Yes 95.9% 1,149.54 shares
Will Ryan Trevino be the Democratic nominee for TX-28?

Yes 12.8% 75.48 shares
Will Ryan Trevino be the Democratic nominee for TX-28?

Yes 12.2% 112.18 shares
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

No 97% 758.12 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 76% 1,000 shares
Albany Great Danes vs. Maine Black Bears

Albany Great Danes 77.5% 55.4 shares