Polymarket Trader

joao.humberto

0xe861d2193f9458fb765c335dc7c77fdd8bf9461e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $144.13
Realized PnL: $129.68
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.78
Potential profit: $194.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.9
Potential profit: $147.9
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $34.54
Potential payout: $106.28
Potential profit: $71.74
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$15.46

Yes position

Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Current value: $42.82
Potential payout: $47.39
Potential profit: $4.57
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $44.63
Potential payout: $44.7
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $37.63

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $8.83
Potential payout: $39.77
Potential profit: $30.94
Multiplier: 4.50x
User PnL: -$3.17

Yes position

Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $7.81
Potential payout: $25.59
Potential profit: $17.79
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.98
Potential profit: $11.98
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.05
Potential profit: $8.05
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$2

Bosnia and Herzegovina position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.15

No position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.63

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.51

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.93

Yes position

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

No position

Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.4%
Multiplier: 1.99x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.81

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.6% 59.88 shares
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

Yes 39.1% 25.59 shares
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Bosnia and Herzegovina 17% 5.88 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 24% 8.33 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 50% 39.21 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

No 50.4% 39.6 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

No 50.5% 39.6 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 51% 39.22 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 27% 7.41 shares