Yes position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $77.17
- Potential payout
- $834.29
- Potential profit
- $757.12
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- -$22.83
Polymarket Trader
0xE86659c3d80e3CC6Af2457cFf1311Be5D80e4999-1766315914293
0xe86659c3d80e3cc6af2457cff1311be5d80e4999
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $586.03
- Realized PnL
- $59.94
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $303.36
- Potential payout
- $314.85
- Potential profit
- $11.49
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $6.41
- Potential payout
- $299.42
- Potential profit
- $293.02
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$93.59
Yes position
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $214.22
- Potential profit
- $213.26
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$18.32
Yes position
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $130.92
- Potential profit
- $129.81
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$15.81
No position
US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.6
- Potential profit
- $118.6
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $97.34
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $9.04
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.66
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $99.67
- Potential payout
- $103.88
- Potential profit
- $4.21
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $143.04
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.32
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.25
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.22
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.13
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.77
No position
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.54
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will UAE strike Yemen by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$42.59
Yes position
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$107
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 95.3% 314.85 shares
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 12% 834.29 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 96.3% 103.88 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 64% 156.25 shares
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 82% 296.39 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 95.8% 104.38 shares
- Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 9% 214.22 shares
- Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 96.4% 20 shares
- Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 95.9% 535.76 shares
- Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No 98.6% 240.16 shares
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No 98.1% 282.33 shares
- Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No 95% 97.89 shares