Yes position
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $16.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.46
Polymarket Trader
Eric2026f
0xe86664810bdc774b671690aad5a0ed0fa81e90ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.3K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.06
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $503.12
- Potential payout
- $504.63
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $398.76
- Potential payout
- $407.73
- Potential profit
- $8.97
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $396.7
- Potential payout
- $404.59
- Potential profit
- $7.89
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 14?Yes 37.4% 80 shares
- Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 98% 1,020.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 14?Yes 40% 80 shares
- Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 98.1% 407.73 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 98.9% 404.59 shares
- Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 99.1% 504.63 shares