Polymarket Trader

lucianola

0xe876b8f6dd5886ab3660fc8d3abc610d1f8e1d22

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $101.56
Realized PnL: -$1.54K
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.24K
Potential profit: $10.24K
User PnL: -$20.49

Yes position

Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $77.73
Potential payout: $8.64K
Potential profit: $8.56K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $20.81

Over position

Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$12

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $23.82
Potential payout: $768.48
Potential profit: $744.66
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $19.21

Yes position

Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $740
Potential profit: $740
User PnL: -$44.4

Over position

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $688.41
Potential profit: $688.41
User PnL: -$31.67

Over position

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$20

Over position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $429.99
Potential profit: $429.99
User PnL: -$30.1

Over position

Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380.3
Potential profit: $380.3
User PnL: -$72.26

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305.41
Potential profit: $305.41
User PnL: -$86.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 28.1%
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$76.13

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$135.27

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$140.51

No position

Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$277.66

Yes position

Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$919.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 5.5

Over 4% 500 shares
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5

Over 4.6% 22.77 shares
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 5.5

Over 4.6% 5 shares
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5

Over 19% 112.07 shares
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5

Over 19% 3.83 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?

Yes 40% 96.64 shares
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5

Over 19% 75.01 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?

Yes 34% 46.65 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?

Yes 34% 49.99 shares
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 0.4% 820 shares
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 0.6% 19 shares
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 0.6% 1,630 shares