Polymarket Trader

Revered

0xe8795bd3d265b046b9c4822c9fd06ea391dc6d22

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.41K
Realized PnL: $26.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 88.8%
Current value: $177.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $12.69
Potential payout: $61.91
Potential profit: $49.22
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $31.19
Potential payout: $32.01
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $18.34
Potential payout: $22.78
Potential profit: $4.44
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$1.01

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $13.7
User PnL: -$10

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.49
Potential profit: $9.49
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.3

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.42K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $942.54

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $885.24

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $882.48

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $677.34

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $581.77

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $536.55

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.73

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.13

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.46

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.27

No position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.1

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.14

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.42

No position

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.65

No position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.9

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.15

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.83

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 26% 9,824.95 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 20% 61.91 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 47% 26.2 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Yes 39.1% 999.99 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 29.4% 9,999.98 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 44% 2,000 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 44% 3,000 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Yes 54% 51.75 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 63% 211.1 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 55% 999.99 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 44% 1,000 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 72.4% 1,708.64 shares