No position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $23.1
- Potential payout
- $23.66
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Polymarket Trader
Ivywoody
0xe87c47fd48349d678b12841981d80a1b655be9ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.1
- Realized PnL
- $4.11
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.19
- Potential profit
- $3.19
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Heat position
Heat vs. Wizards
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 93% 23.66 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83% 24.1 shares
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?No 98.5% 21.32 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95.1% 22.12 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 94.9% 22.13 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 90% 23.91 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 92% 23.91 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 93% 23.15 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95% 23.16 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 33% 3.2 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.2% 21.87 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96% 21.88 shares