No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $679.61
- Potential payout
- $978
- Potential profit
- $298.39
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $34.13
Polymarket Trader
MarkMartinez5836
@unnatur67575090
0xe87e5e8dc4780110e9b23370fef7c78447f54f70
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.13K
- Realized PnL
- $6.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $85.1
- Potential payout
- $549
- Potential profit
- $463.91
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$101.57
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $325.33
- Potential payout
- $385
- Potential profit
- $59.68
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $94.32
Yes position
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $48.36
- Multiplier
- 11.43x
- User PnL
- -$13.38
No position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $26.78
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $25.22
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $35.24
- Potential profit
- $33.39
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$18.24
No position
Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.99
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Mid-America Christian Evangels position
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $515.88
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.28
Yes position
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.85
Yes position
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $443.04
No position
Will Trump say "Sucker" or "Loser" this week? (April 19)
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.96
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 10PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316
No position
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.3
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $287.04
No position
Will Furia qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.73
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.4
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.21
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.1
Over position
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.3
Yes position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $211.14
No position
Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $207.17
Over position
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.35
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.06
Yes position
Will Trae Young be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.7
Yes position
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $166.32
Up position
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.88
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.25
No position
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.29
No position
Will Exponent launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will North West release an album by December 31?Yes 77% 18 shares
- Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 51% 905 shares
- Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 51% 60 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No 69% 89 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No 68% 292 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No 68% 269 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No 68% 284 shares
- Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 59% 965 shares
- Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No 88% 897 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 59% 9 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 59% 58 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 59% 60 shares