Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.49
- Potential payout
- $4.49
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.49
Polymarket Trader
thlk
0xe882f1d08647f3787446ef509c9a389638e54386
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.15
- Realized PnL
- -$1.27
- Win rate
- 13%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.29
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.66
- Potential payout
- $3.66
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on October 22?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in December 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?No 82% 3.66 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 540.72 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.9% 540.72 shares
- Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 541.26 shares
- Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No 99.9% 541.26 shares
- Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 79% 3.8 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Yes 89% 4.49 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?No 99.8% 548.82 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?No 99.9% 548.83 shares
- Will Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 83% 24.1 shares
- Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the December meeting?Yes 94% 10.64 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in December 2025?No 99.8% 540.28 shares