Polymarket Trader

504daodniw

0xe889a10bba256d5e8acd202b8698777bd9830d93

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $914.81
Realized PnL: $169.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $199.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $195.29
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $4.7
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $31.98
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $19.76
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $19.93
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $19.66
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $19.25
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $19.94
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $19.48
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 8PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.67

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 6AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 7PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 5AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 13, 12PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Down 99% 100 shares
XRP Up or Down - July 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Up 99% 34.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Down 99% 100 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 13, 10PM ET

Down 99.3% 123.95 shares
XRP Up or Down - July 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Down 99% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 99% 100 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Up 99% 8 shares
XRP Up or Down - July 13, 9PM ET

Down 98% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 99% 100 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Down 21.9% 100 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Up 99% 100 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Up 99% 100 shares