No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $530
- Potential payout
- $530
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.06
Polymarket Trader
yarvis
0xe8a0d4abe4080cb815577132e5fd0af4e642ffd4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.09K
- Realized PnL
- -$35.98
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Albania win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $489.02
- Potential profit
- $489.02
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Ethereum above $4,000 on August 4?
Ends Aug 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430
- Potential profit
- $430
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on December 21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $420
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $380
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will Germany win the UEFA Women's Euro?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $340
- User PnL
- -$35.36
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $280.25
- Potential payout
- $280.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $280.13
- Potential payout
- $280.13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 October 27-November 2?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?
Ends Jun 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $99m?
Ends Jun 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Trump out as President by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will 'Ruin The Friendship' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?
Ends Jun 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will another party win the most seats in the 2025 Burundian parliamentary election?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.47
No position
Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Yes position
Will USDC grow more than USDT in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes 0.4% 380 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of March?No 99.8% 280.25 shares
- Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 99.8% 220 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?No 99.8% 280.13 shares
- Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 99.9% 220 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No 99.8% 530 shares
- Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No 98.7% 340 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on December 21?Yes 0.8% 420 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No 99.6% 260 shares
- Will Albania win Miss Universe 2025?Yes 0.7% 489.02 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?Yes 0.9% 260 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 October 27-November 2?No 99.5% 440 shares