No position
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $994.55
- Potential profit
- $994.55
- User PnL
- -$133.69
Polymarket Trader
1ppq
0xe8a75539bbb9041cd7b354eba400069cd8fc46c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.1
- Realized PnL
- $14.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $972.83
- Potential profit
- $972.83
- User PnL
- -$40.42
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.85
- Potential profit
- $350.85
- User PnL
- -$11.01
Yes position
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $336.36
- Potential profit
- $336.36
- User PnL
- -$39.86
Yes position
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.02
- Potential profit
- $227.02
- User PnL
- -$201.67
No position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.71
- Potential profit
- $226.71
- User PnL
- -$12.39
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$83.8
No position
Will the median home value in New York City be between $580,000 and $590,000 by February 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.37
- Potential profit
- $154.37
- User PnL
- -$43.34
Yes position
Will there be exactly three announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.79
- Potential profit
- $136.79
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.25
- Potential profit
- $117.25
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Gervonta Davis arrested by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$69
Yes position
Will O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$53.5
Yes position
Trump declares another national emergency by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$18.5
Yes position
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 28, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.1%
- Current value
- $90.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Union Pacific (UNP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.74K
Yes position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $938.58
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $624.74
No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $492.65
Yes position
Trump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $460.4
Yes position
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $446.15
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386
No position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $381.65
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $343.41
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.83
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $265.8
Yes position
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $255.07
No position
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $244.79
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $229.31
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.99
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.42
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.16
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $205.59
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $204.33
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $201.96
No position
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.13
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $192.79
No position
Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $187.8
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $178.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?No 40% 3.33 shares
- Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?No 2.2% 412.07 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No 95.1% 9.25 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No 96% 10.95 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 63% 161.66 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No 96.1% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes 42% 50 shares
- Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?Yes 96.2% 272.28 shares
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?No 70% 50 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No 95.3% 260 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No 96.1% 40 shares
- Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?No 61% 100 shares