Polymarket Trader

fraj0la

@insiderreportbr

0xe8b0982b27d9664754dea25103d013bfb4fecc4b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.39K
Realized PnL: $6.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $410.7
Potential payout: $846.81
Potential profit: $436.11
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $12.7

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $508.2
Potential payout: $840
Potential profit: $331.8
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Croatia finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $330.44
Potential payout: $836.56
Potential profit: $506.12
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$171.49

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $392.86
Potential payout: $793.65
Potential profit: $400.79
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$107.14

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $58.54
Potential payout: $780.53
Potential profit: $721.99
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$42.11

Yes position

Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $331.1
Potential payout: $770
Potential profit: $438.9
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $231

Yes position

Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $53.9
Potential payout: $770
Potential profit: $716.1
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$46.2

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $65.38
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $703.85
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$34.61

Yes position

Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $363.74
Potential payout: $611.32
Potential profit: $247.59
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $112.64

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $270.75
Potential payout: $570
Potential profit: $299.25
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $19.95

Yes position

Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $201.53
Potential payout: $510.2
Potential profit: $308.67
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$48.47

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $237.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $414.99
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $381.59
Potential payout: $479.99
Potential profit: $98.4
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $132

Yes position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $277.35
Potential payout: $429.99
Potential profit: $152.65
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $27.95

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $109.2
Potential payout: $389.99
Potential profit: $280.79
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $275.4
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $84.6
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $23.4

No position

Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $899

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $724.87

Yes position

Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.85

Yes position

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.18

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.24

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.43

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.6

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.37

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.79

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.93

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.47

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.31

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.1

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.62

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.91

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.65

Yes position

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.22

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.77

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Yes position

Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Yes position

Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.25

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

No 47% 846.81 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 89% 862.06 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 58% 862.07 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 70% 714.29 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 55% 454.55 shares
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 67.5% 740.45 shares
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 56% 892.86 shares
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?

No 85% 50 shares
Will Haiti be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?

No 99.3% 66.14 shares
Will Haiti be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?

No 94.3% 266.99 shares
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 43% 1,162.79 shares
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20% 200 shares