Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $42.99
- Potential payout
- $698.98
- Potential profit
- $656
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $2.47
Polymarket Trader
Mara47328173
0xe8b9479557e872df4d63dd8420d57efe86208ea2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $117.22
- Realized PnL
- $361.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $25.8
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $34.2
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $8.23
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $12.6
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $12.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.2
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $7.86
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $5
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.45
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.05
Yes position
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.45
Yes position
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.4
Yes position
Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
No position
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
Will Sam Altman attend Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.26
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Iran" during Michigan visit?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.44
Yes position
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.57
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during trophy presentation?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.16
No position
Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.19
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" during Kentucky visit?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.12
Yes position
Will Trump say "Win Win Win" during Kentucky visit?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.72
Yes position
Will Vance say "Nuclear" during Air Force Academy Address?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" 10+ times during Cabinet meeting?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Wisconsin events?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
Will "Trump" be said at the Grammys?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.21
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
No position
Will Trump say "Fake news" during Memphis Roundtable?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.72
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" during executive order signing today?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36
Yes position
Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETDown 83% 1.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETDown 80% 1.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETUp 1% 500 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.9% 338.98 shares
- Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 28% 17.86 shares
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Will Trump say "Citizenship" during Tele-Rally?Yes 72% 20.82 shares
- Will Trump say "Women's Sports" during Tele-Rally?Yes 69% 14.49 shares
- Will Trump say "Job" 2+ times during Tele-Rally?Yes 75% 13.33 shares
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Germany?Yes 8% 25 shares