Polymarket Trader

John-Silver

0xe8c5827d987d9bf9e04102a2b84c7de426817a13

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.25K
Realized PnL: $25.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $20.52K
Potential payout: $22.68K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $13.2K
Potential payout: $16.82K
Potential profit: $3.62K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $488.27

Yes position

Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.93K
Potential profit: $10.93K
User PnL: -$2.01K

Yes position

Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?

Ends Jul 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.6K
Potential profit: $9.6K
User PnL: -$3.7K

Yes position

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.7K
Potential profit: $7.7K
User PnL: -$1.37K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $3.52K
Potential payout: $6.47K
Potential profit: $2.94K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$341.45

No position

Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.36K
Potential profit: $6.36K
User PnL: -$528.98

Yes position

Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.03K
Potential profit: $4.03K
User PnL: -$698.38

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.68K
Potential profit: $3.68K
User PnL: -$1.65K

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.54K
User PnL: -$1.23K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$660.06

Yes position

Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.02K
User PnL: -$65.28

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$497.02

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $589.18
Potential profit: $589.18
User PnL: -$153.65

No position

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.16
Potential profit: $160.16
User PnL: -$97.55

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-15 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.07
Potential profit: $155.07
User PnL: -$32.56

Yes position

Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.18
Potential profit: $55.18
User PnL: -$17.91

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $26.67
User PnL: -$8.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82K

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

No position

Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $958.95

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $888.44

No position

Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $879.56

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $839.82

No position

Will Russia capture Udachne before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $829.01

Yes position

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $515.12

No position

Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.33

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 13 above $410?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.4

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.28

No position

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.06

No position

Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.04

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.73

Yes position

Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.14

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $236.19

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.61

No position

Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.45

No position

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 73% 8,427.67 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 62% 161.29 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 85% 10 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 77% 600 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 84% 240.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 59% 400 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 97.7% 324.77 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 84% 6 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 81% 213 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 81.9% 293 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

No 97% 1,132.34 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 81% 1,264.4 shares