Polymarket Trader

pikapu

0xe8c5bed6882d5b149121048bbc624ead3e12e09a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.79
Realized PnL: $8.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $17.54
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $10.79
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $6.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 99.8% 11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.7% 11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.9% 11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 99.8% 11.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

No 99.9% 11.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

No 99.9% 11.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

No 99.9% 10.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

No 99.9% 11.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

No 99.9% 11.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

No 99.9% 11.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

No 99.9% 10.01 shares