Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $178.13
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$121.88
Polymarket Trader
Orichalcum
0xe8c6c2f99e3fe94861931cb9efc5ddad8b030054
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $178.13
- Realized PnL
- $304.75
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Valentin Royer position
Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $441.62
- Potential profit
- $441.62
- User PnL
- -$16.73
Yes position
Will 70-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.76
- Potential profit
- $60.76
- User PnL
- -$7.48
Yes position
Will 60-69 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.3
- Potential profit
- $40.3
- User PnL
- -$12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.52
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.57
Joao Fonseca position
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.42
Nuno Borges position
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.77
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.89
Yes position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$98.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$225.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 16% 1,875 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 74.3% 943.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 33.3% 530.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 43% 19 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 53% 943.4 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 0.3% 454.54 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 22% 454.55 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 74.6% 549.6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 23% 273.68 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Yes 0.2% 529.93 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 273.68 shares
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Yes 39.9% 133.28 shares