No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $616.6
- Potential payout
- $645.65
- Potential profit
- $29.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $22.6
Polymarket Trader
Ethan1991
@Bertram419
0xe8d3256c485157e9d3b6c9c07cf67b575c5fb614
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $616.6
- Realized PnL
- $736.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.82
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $51.72
Up position
Solana Up or Down - November 21, 1PM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12AM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 12AM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.46
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 11PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.94
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $27.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.02
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Down position
XRP Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.14
Up position
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 3PM ET
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.14
Down position
XRP Up or Down - December 16, 11AM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11PM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 11AM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2PM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 645.65 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 98.8% 601.25 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 94.3% 601.25 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 97.4% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 66% 798.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 58% 372.41 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 81% 425.93 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 70.2% 491.25 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 80% 491.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 99.9% 393.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 82% 393.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.5% 324.73 shares