No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $100.71K
- Potential payout
- $117.79K
- Potential profit
- $17.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Polymarket Trader
smallpig
0xe8d6abc4bc8ae7598d64ee9d27300016200dd5db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $150.35K
- Realized PnL
- -$222.66
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $24.08K
- Potential payout
- $26.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.77K
- Potential payout
- $10.56K
- Potential profit
- $791.77
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $416.73
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.59K
- Potential payout
- $5.25K
- Potential profit
- $656.09
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $27.84
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $260.99
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$13.73
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.45K
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $199.02
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $38.38
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.97K
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $308.08
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $14.45
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $387.87
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $99.36
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $103.76
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $9.82
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $526.36
- Potential payout
- $615.63
- Potential profit
- $89.27
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.73
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $447.42
- Potential payout
- $499.91
- Potential profit
- $52.49
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $211.32
- Potential payout
- $223.86
- Potential profit
- $12.54
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.32
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $107.38
- Potential payout
- $152.31
- Potential profit
- $44.93
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$5.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.68
KT Rolster position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.47
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.39
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Kiwoom DRX position
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.61
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.84
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.99
No position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$210
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 86% 209.77 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No 86% 116.28 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 85% 318.07 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 85.8% 174.79 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 85% 89.46 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 85% 11.06 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 86% 463.23 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No 83% 120.48 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No 93% 180.73 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No 86% 232.56 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 85.5% 2,498.13 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 85% 468.66 shares