Polymarket Trader

0xE8D90F070b4B207cF82a086d60A8F99572830882-1765485372478

0xe8d90f070b4b207cf82a086d60a8f99572830882

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.33
Realized PnL: $60.12
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $10.77
Potential payout: $265.87
Potential profit: $255.1
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $0.77

New Zealand position

T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

No position

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $19.57
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $9.42
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

GPT ads by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.05

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.04

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: -$1.73

No position

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$3.34

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 265.87 shares
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Yes 69% 28.99 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 1,000 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 84.9% 22.05 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 68% 22.06 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 80.8% 31.41 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 30% 33.33 shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 54% 67.68 shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 54% 67.69 shares
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand

New Zealand 11% 90.91 shares
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

No 64% 26.02 shares
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

No 76.8% 26.03 shares