Victoria909

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $496.51
Potential profit: $490.06
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $305.72
Potential profit: $305.26
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.54

No position

Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C or higher on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.17
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or higher on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $166
Potential profit: $165.59
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $164.52
Potential profit: $162.62
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$3.11

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $147.26
Potential profit: $147.04
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.81
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $106.18
Potential profit: $105.92
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $101.2
Potential profit: $100.64
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $8.9
Potential payout: $91.29
Potential profit: $82.39
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $89.16
Potential profit: $88.54
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.27
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $75.71
Potential profit: $74.5
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $70.46
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $67.32
Potential profit: $63.89
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: $2.96

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $65.7
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.05
Potential profit: $57.05
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $50.95
Potential profit: $50.57
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.7
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $48.57
Potential profit: $48.35
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $3.16
Potential payout: $45.86
Potential profit: $42.7
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $40.68
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $42.01
Potential profit: $41.63
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.07

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.36

Yes position

Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.07

No position

Will AZZ (AZZ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.29

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 13?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.17

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.73

Yes position

Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

AWS service disrupted by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08

No position

Will Glacier Bancorp (GBCI) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Fanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Will Fastenal (FAST) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?