Polymarket Trader

0xe8DFc81C628df53Ff3954DAAfC2f38c2193CCE29-1772283910314

0xe8dfc81c628df53ff3954daafc2f38c2193cce29

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.75
Realized PnL: -$8.98
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.08
Potential profit: $251.08
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $119.05
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $3.86
Potential payout: $20.49
Potential profit: $16.63
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.39
Potential profit: $10.39
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $3.87
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $5.93
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$1.13

No position

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $6.08
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $1.62
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will George Pickens play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $4.67
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: -$2.53

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $5.41
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $1.44
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $3.44
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$1.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.42

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.96

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $2.17

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.98

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.32

Yes position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.33

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 98.2% 6.41 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Yes 38.5% 10.39 shares
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4% 251.08 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 73% 6.85 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 5.6% 156.25 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 3.2% 156.25 shares
Will George Pickens play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?

Yes 70% 7.14 shares
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?

Yes 77% 6.49 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

No 74% 6.76 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 59% 12.19 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 51% 9.8 shares
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

No 65% 7.69 shares