Polymarket Trader

Mickey142

0xe8e738ff6d8f127c3d3955dd6766c02c5084cad4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.86
Realized PnL: $11.45
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.43
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.17
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $6.9
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 60.4%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82
Potential profit: $2.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Argentina to score first vs. England?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Belgium position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Argentina to score first vs. England?

Yes 43% 2.33 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 35.5% 2.82 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 77.2% 1.29 shares
Will the fight be won by submission?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 35% 2.86 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 53% 1.89 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 25% 4 shares
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.5% 3.08 shares