Polymarket Trader

blackabt123

0xe8f3f8c66adaf9441bf4d882ecde58c16f760f9c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $281.4
Realized PnL: $8.98K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.7K
Potential profit: $21.7K
User PnL: -$3.39K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.4K
Potential profit: $9.4K
User PnL: -$380.37

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.2K
Potential profit: $9.2K
User PnL: -$387.99

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $281.4
Potential payout: $8.4K
Potential profit: $8.12K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $74.41

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.6K
Potential profit: $7.6K
User PnL: -$1.03K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$370.93

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.8K
Potential profit: $6.8K
User PnL: -$252.31

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.59K
Potential profit: $4.59K
User PnL: -$1.13K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.87K
Potential profit: $3.87K
User PnL: -$104.16

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$494.98

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $3.45K
User PnL: -$384.53

Yes position

Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $3.23K
User PnL: -$119.97

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: -$330.44

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$95.2

No position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$98

No position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$504

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$445.49

No position

Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.94
Potential profit: $999.94
User PnL: -$89.99

Yes position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$215.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $474.99

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.66

No position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.12

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.34

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.9%
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: -$1.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 3% 3,300 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 2% 1,000 shares
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Yes 26.2% 500 shares
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Yes 10.7% 29.61 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 5% 2,500 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Yes 5% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Yes 5% 1,000 shares
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

No 42% 1,200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Yes 2.2% 7,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Yes 6% 3,400 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Yes 10% 2,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 1,800 shares