Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $63.98
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $20.76
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $13.98
Polymarket Trader
0xE8FD1BCE82EcbfefAFE496629e5E596B5f886274-1779350262992
0xe8fd1bce82ecbfefafe496629e5e596b5f886274
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $258.42
- Realized PnL
- $112.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $64.97
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $14.97
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $50.82
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $4.12
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $29.48
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $32.97
- Potential profit
- $2.97
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.1%
- Current value
- $13.17
- Potential payout
- $15.29
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3
N
No position
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.73x
- User PnL
- $1.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 6.25 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No 76.9% 15.29 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20% 34.48 shares
- France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes 21% 25.67 shares
- France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes 52% 25.67 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes 54% 18.18 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 91% 32.97 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes 55% 18.18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown 28% 19.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown 52% 9.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown 53% 9.43 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes 48% 10.15 shares