Polymarket Trader

test441

0xe90686930809c46a99350b0edae6c9b1b7e0ae2b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $56.2
Realized PnL: $2.27K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$22.9

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $990
Potential profit: $990
User PnL: -$10.89

Yes position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $598.2
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$19.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $20.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $379.4
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $31.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $368.2
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.99
Potential profit: $349.99
User PnL: -$6.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $333
User PnL: -$10.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290
Potential profit: $290
User PnL: -$20.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.24
Potential profit: $269.24
User PnL: -$10.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268
Potential profit: $268
User PnL: -$8.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$8.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.98
Potential profit: $250.98
User PnL: -$17.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $133

No position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.23

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.54

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.35

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.7%
Multiplier: 2.66x
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 3.2% 103.13 shares
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 75.6% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 41% 250 shares
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?

Yes 0.5% 800 shares
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Yes 18.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 300 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 402.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 167.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?

Yes 3.8% 135 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 26?

Yes 27% 25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 135 shares