Polymarket Trader

Lptggg

0xe90d62b28318a84853ee7cff8c657b5cc4fd84b7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $170.31
Realized PnL: $52.36
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.89
Potential profit: $109.89
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $50.78
Potential payout: $51.47
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $15.78

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $17.41
Potential payout: $29.94
Potential profit: $12.53
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $12.41

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $27.49
Potential profit: $23.49
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.47
Potential profit: $27.47
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 53.4%
Current value: $12.55
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $10.98
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$7.45

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $11.83
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $7.4
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 74.8%
Current value: $11.21
Potential payout: $14.99
Potential profit: $3.78
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $10.31
User PnL: -$10

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $8.22
Potential payout: $8.7
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $7.28
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $6.01
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 72.7%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $6.87
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $5.97
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $4.49
Potential payout: $5.6
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.61

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.16

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Yes position

Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

No position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will Jonas Sulzbach win Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Juliano Floss be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Chaiany Andrade be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Solange Couto be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Gabriela Saporito be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

US position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

No 96.1% 8.95 shares
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 3.6% 27.49 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 85% 23.53 shares
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.7% 29.94 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.2% 27.47 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.1% 109.89 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Yes 79% 3.54 shares
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

No 54.7% 9.14 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

No 83.4% 6 shares
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Down 80% 18.75 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 72.8% 6.87 shares