sammydavv

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $393.11
Potential profit: $392.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$20.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $316.54
Potential profit: $316.38
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $259.02
Potential profit: $256.95
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 41°C or higher on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $248.8
Potential profit: $247.31
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $221.18
Potential profit: $219.75
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$25.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $204
Potential profit: $203.49
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C or below on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $173.33
Potential profit: $172.99
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 40°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.25
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C or higher on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $166
Potential profit: $165.59
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $163.87
Potential profit: $163.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $46.44
Potential payout: $154.81
Potential profit: $108.37
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $21.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.21
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $134.16
Potential profit: $134.09
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $132.69
Potential profit: $132.62
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 43°C or higher on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $127.52
Potential profit: $127.2
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $6.76
Potential payout: $125.2
Potential profit: $118.44
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$5.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.5
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $119.3
Potential profit: $119.06
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $118.88
Potential profit: $113.53
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$4.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $113.26
Potential profit: $113.21
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $5.64
Potential payout: $112.79
Potential profit: $107.15
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $60.18
Potential payout: $112.49
Potential profit: $52.31
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $52.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.5
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 47°C or higher on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.94
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.39
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $108.09
Potential profit: $105.55
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$3.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $107.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 42°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $102.61
Potential profit: $102.2
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $9.53
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $90.77
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.96
Potential profit: $92.96
User PnL: -$4.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $84.51
Potential profit: $82.44
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 33.6%
Current value: $28.39
Potential payout: $84.49
Potential profit: $56.1
Multiplier: 2.98x
User PnL: $22.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 27?

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $78.51
Potential profit: $75.69
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.81
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $19.14
Potential payout: $75.07
Potential profit: $55.93
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $19.64
Potential payout: $74.12
Potential profit: $54.47
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$5.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $70.57
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on June 26?

Implied probability: 24.7%
Current value: $16.91
Potential payout: $68.59
Potential profit: $51.68
Multiplier: 4.06x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.33
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $65.2
Potential profit: $62.89
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $63.05
Potential profit: $63.02
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $62.22
Potential profit: $59.89
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $45.88
Potential payout: $61.58
Potential profit: $15.7
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $21.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $24.82
Potential payout: $59.09
Potential profit: $34.27
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $45.88
Potential payout: $58.07
Potential profit: $12.2
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $25.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $10.58
Potential payout: $57.18
Potential profit: $46.6
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $3.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $56.25
Potential profit: $55.05
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 25?