No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $369.31
- Potential payout
- $399.25
- Potential profit
- $29.94
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $25.19
Polymarket Trader
0xE933e97E290C50158A7e015E705fcB82E8d59AFC-1767859153066
0xe933e97e290c50158a7e015e705fcb82e8d59afc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $609.47
- Realized PnL
- -$278.5
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $49.17
- Potential payout
- $351.2
- Potential profit
- $302.03
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $7.02
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $103.7
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $236.3
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $87.3
- Potential payout
- $90.7
- Potential profit
- $3.4
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $9.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.57
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.1
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.21
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.56
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.04
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56.21
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$307.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 250 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 86% 90.7 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 223.06 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 226.19 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes 98% 209.16 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?Yes 1.8% 340.34 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 95.8% 292.13 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 92% 304.19 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 87% 304.2 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?No 68.6% 225.29 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?Yes 32% 481.93 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?Yes 94.7% 481.93 shares