Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $3.24
- Potential payout
- $18.01
- Potential profit
- $14.77
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$5.09
Polymarket Trader
mmmdd
0xe9360e4e8b41b6327a6998b0c0215a709a725a10
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.52
- Realized PnL
- $130.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.07
- Potential profit
- $12.07
- User PnL
- -$4.95
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $11.06
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.85
- Potential payout
- $10.86
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.95
Penguins position
Flyers vs. Penguins
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.43
- Potential profit
- $8.43
- User PnL
- -$4.89
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.51
- Potential payout
- $8.25
- Potential profit
- $4.74
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $6.51
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $5.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $5.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.53
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.95
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.38
No position
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $7.21
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.52
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Stars position
Wild vs. Stars
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Avalanche position
Kings vs. Avalanche
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?No 76% 6.51 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 60% 8.25 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 90% 5.5 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 10, 2026?Yes 96% 5.16 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?Yes 97% 5.1 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?Yes 86% 5.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 12% 6.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 12% 0.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 12% 0.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 12% 0.46 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 12% 0.62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 12% 0.21 shares