Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $430
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $130
Polymarket Trader
0xe947b4FEE4245F5eFD2618E6C89dE8bB21D1aB96-1768430827435
0xe947b4fee4245f5efd2618e6c89de8bb21d1ab96
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.1K
- Realized PnL
- $5.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $487.26
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $945.85
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$12.74
No position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $230.27
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$16.23
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $66
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $905.11
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $117.61
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.11
Yes position
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $235
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $765
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $935
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $935
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $85
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $973.49
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $924.06
- Potential payout
- $967.6
- Potential profit
- $43.54
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $53.22
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $909.09
- Potential payout
- $962
- Potential profit
- $52.91
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $18.67
Yes position
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $899.98
- Potential profit
- $899.98
- User PnL
- -$153
No position
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $791.09
- Potential payout
- $821.91
- Potential profit
- $30.82
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $28.9
Y
Yes position
Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $128
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $672
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$15.87
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $776.39
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $23.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $21.3
No position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $799.97
- Potential profit
- $799.97
- User PnL
- -$321.99
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $171.5
- Potential payout
- $699.99
- Potential profit
- $528.49
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $558.91
- Potential payout
- $638.75
- Potential profit
- $79.84
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.19
Deep Cross Gaming position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $65.63
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $559.38
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$34.38
No position
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $552.15
- Potential payout
- $610.11
- Potential profit
- $57.96
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $543
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $57
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$90
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$146.5
No position
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $499.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- User PnL
- $24.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $816
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $643.91
No position
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $485.39
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.99
No position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.28
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.75
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.11
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.86
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.36
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.92
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Los Ratones win the LEC 2026 Versus?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4
No position
Will Sébastien Delogu win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 61% 300 shares
- Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7% 50 shares
- Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No 92% 11.87 shares
- Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 57% 60 shares
- Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18% 800 shares
- Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 58% 10.75 shares
- Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 93% 133.82 shares
- Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 92% 300 shares
- Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 89.5% 200 shares
- Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 95% 20 shares
- Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 94.9% 20.64 shares
- Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 93% 20 shares