No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.7K
- Potential profit
- $5.7K
- User PnL
- -$13.99
Polymarket Trader
0xe948E9a171352efB09e48b8F2164E4dABaACeCc7-1763866510541
0xe948e9a171352efb09e48b8f2164e4dabaacecc7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $251.32
- Realized PnL
- $2.07K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $16.39
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$84.61
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $206.46
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $825.83
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.74
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $23.15
- Potential payout
- $890.43
- Potential profit
- $867.27
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$143.84
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $508.18
- Potential profit
- $504.62
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$36.04
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $296.57
- Potential profit
- $295.83
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.26
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $156.77
- Potential profit
- $155.75
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.42
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.62
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.43
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.71
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.03
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.57
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.99
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$304
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 833.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 1.1% 363.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes 99.1% 2.71 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?Yes 12.4% 80.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7% 18.75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 19.3% 315.53 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 18.8% 53.19 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 18.9% 105.82 shares