Polymarket Trader

spicytoast

0xe94992a4abd25a3821331c55829b4e01ae37f774

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.81
Realized PnL: $346.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump say "Beautiful" 7+ times during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $7.95
Potential payout: $23.04
Potential profit: $15.09
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$3.57

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63.4%
Current value: $3.16
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.58x
User PnL: -$0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?

No 50% 25 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 29?

Down 11% 200 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 29?

Down 20.2% 247.62 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?

No 13.2% 9.66 shares
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

No 1% 4.83 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 40% 4.89 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 17?

No 81% 4.89 shares
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5

Over 48% 4.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 17?

Yes 30% 4.83 shares
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90% 4.72 shares
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5

Under 49% 9.62 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

No 9% 4.76 shares