No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $595.78
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$405.54
Polymarket Trader
Degenerino
0xe9561deaae2bde8d4a16574f873449f4ce7ac4e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.77K
- Realized PnL
- $3.11K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $265.93
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$484.06
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$504
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$247.89
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$537.5
Ollie Schmid position
UFC Fight Night: Marwan Rahiki vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$170.12
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.94
- Potential profit
- $999.94
- User PnL
- -$441.97
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $910.55
- Potential profit
- $910.55
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.92
- Potential profit
- $909.92
- User PnL
- -$29.33
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $94.95
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $805.05
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $175.5
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $724.5
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$130.5
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$94.6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Current value
- $118.8
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $681.2
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- $49.2
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $110.8
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $689.2
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$12.4
G2 position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $797.05
- Potential profit
- $797.05
- User PnL
- -$96.98
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $731.27
- Potential profit
- $731.27
- User PnL
- -$92.38
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $40.25
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $659.75
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$19.95
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $691.95
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$127.95
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$126
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $630
- Potential profit
- $630
- User PnL
- -$72.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$108
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $363
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $237
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $734.55
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Utah
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.5
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264
G2 position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228
Under position
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.39
Legacy position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152
Club Atlético de Madrid position
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.23
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
MOUZ position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
paiN position
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.11
Under position
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
Knicks position
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Under position
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.19
Tim Elliott position
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
G2 position
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$18.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No 35% 115.38 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No 34% 23.9 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No 50% 8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 1,200.48 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 22.2% 799.99 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 55% 600 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 63% 711.14 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?No 48% 208.33 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?No 47.8% 418.41 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?No 47.5% 500 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No 51% 5 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 32.4% 2,000 shares