No position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.62K
- Potential profit
- $19.62K
- User PnL
- -$12.06K
Polymarket Trader
RogerFed
0xe9582ac5e2d22a771ed84adc12c8df30a8b166b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.87K
- Realized PnL
- $10.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $8.59
- Potential payout
- $17.18K
- Potential profit
- $17.17K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.04K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.22K
- Potential profit
- $7.22K
- User PnL
- -$4.97K
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $989.85
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $51.66
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $512.13
- Potential payout
- $609.68
- Potential profit
- $97.55
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$8.9
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $168.59
- Potential payout
- $354.94
- Potential profit
- $186.34
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$28.72
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $86.9
- Potential payout
- $244.78
- Potential profit
- $157.88
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $103.43
- Potential payout
- $118.21
- Potential profit
- $14.78
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $5.49K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $620.46
No position
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.17
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.62
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $181.87
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $178.67
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $164.99
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.81
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.43
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.31
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.52
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.17
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.59
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $73.2
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.83
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.94
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.74
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.14
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.06
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.59
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.43
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 49% 57 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes 37% 100 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No 37% 199.69 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 83% 10 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 83% 10 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 93.4% 100 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 49% 232.72 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 51% 102.01 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 51% 10 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 51% 10 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 52% 119.66 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 36% 39.72 shares