Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Polymarket Trader
novacliff6915
0xe96a8e842fa0c8e971ac23c841b9a86f9fee1639
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.14
- Realized PnL
- $249.01
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.11
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-14?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.2% 159 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.9% 166 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.9% 166 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.7% 333 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 97.9% 168 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 82.5% 199 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.2% 175 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.1% 40 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.3% 154 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.7% 160 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.4% 149 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 3% 148 shares