No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.75
Polymarket Trader
0xe96d...a747
0xe96d26ca077a331e126f7f66917c00373945a747
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.64K
- Realized PnL
- $460.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $27.12
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Yes position
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $999.91
- Potential profit
- $991.41
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.01
- Potential payout
- $667.92
- Potential profit
- $664.92
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.19
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $428.6
- Potential profit
- $421.1
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $377.43
- Potential payout
- $399.4
- Potential profit
- $21.97
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $40.86
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $39.45
- Potential payout
- $292.23
- Potential profit
- $252.78
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $8.42
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $16.21
- Potential payout
- $243.83
- Potential profit
- $227.62
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $13.69
- Potential payout
- $238.14
- Potential profit
- $224.45
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $226.1
- Potential profit
- $224.63
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $7.89
- Potential payout
- $222.77
- Potential profit
- $214.88
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $218.71
- Potential profit
- $215.76
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $173.16
- Potential payout
- $183.73
- Potential profit
- $10.56
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.87
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $150.31
- Potential payout
- $156.81
- Potential profit
- $6.51
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $8.17
Yes position
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $139.16
- Potential profit
- $136.19
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $133.53
- Potential payout
- $133.73
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $0.2
Messi position
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $120.52
- Potential payout
- $129.59
- Potential profit
- $9.07
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $9.12
Yes position
Will Athletics win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $122.81
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $123.68
- Potential payout
- $124.99
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $17.29
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $123.72
- Potential payout
- $123.78
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $31.51
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $102.85
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $7.15
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $104.51
- Potential payout
- $105.04
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $104.75
- Potential profit
- $103.02
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $96.84
- Potential payout
- $97.57
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- User PnL
- $9.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.63
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
Anisimova position
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Amanda Anisimova
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.63
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.34
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $31.06
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.37
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.01
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.76
United States position
Spread: United States (-1.5)
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.6
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.43
Yes position
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.74
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.37
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56
GIANTX position
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
No position
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 Winner
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.44
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 63% 10.44 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 96.9% 39.1 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 38% 9.78 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 59% 17.19 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 85% 0.2 shares
- Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?Yes 21.6% 47.64 shares
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Washington Mystics 99% 5 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 86% 2.63 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 86% 3.7 shares
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?Yes 2.1% 43.08 shares
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?Yes 2.1% 39.67 shares
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?Yes 2.1% 44.96 shares