No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $251.54
- Potential payout
- $461.54
- Potential profit
- $210
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $11.54
Polymarket Trader
katzbalger
0xe97868155b337b831562f3801614358c0acaec32
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $335.16
- Realized PnL
- $126.98
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $83.62
- Potential payout
- $327.94
- Potential profit
- $244.31
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$16.38
No position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.56
- Potential profit
- $168.56
- User PnL
- -$38.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.82
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.85
No position
Will Solana reach $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.35
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.61
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.78
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Cavaliers position
Heat vs. Cavaliers
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Pistons position
Hawks vs. Pistons
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$297.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 52% 76.92 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 30.5% 327.94 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 52% 384.62 shares
- Will Solana reach $100 in May?No 59.5% 201.09 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 66% 151.61 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?No 23% 42.14 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?No 23% 126.42 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No 64.2% 264.85 shares
- Heat vs. CavaliersCavaliers 58% 25.86 shares
- Hawks vs. PistonsPistons 59% 33.9 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 81% 123.46 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No 67% 44.78 shares