No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $509.97
- Potential payout
- $603.16
- Potential profit
- $93.19
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $208.39
Polymarket Trader
nnbtcnn
0xe9987430c2569024cb5da4b66c5f76de8b0cfe7d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $643.84
- Realized PnL
- $191.1
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $93.19
- Potential payout
- $603.16
- Potential profit
- $509.97
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$208.39
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $40.68
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $159.32
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- $3.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127
Yes position
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.68
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Kraken IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No 96% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No 96.5% 240 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.8% 194 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 98.3% 200 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 430 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 95.7% 200 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 97.2% 200 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?No 99.7% 97.99 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?No 99.7% 100 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No 99.8% 100 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 91.5% 130 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?No 99.7% 97.99 shares