Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $123
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $477
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$291
Polymarket Trader
0xE9c38C1E1d9CFf772b7fd36F7959D3561501e2DD-1772867667671
0xe9c38c1e1d9cff772b7fd36f7959d3561501e2dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $123
- Realized PnL
- $114.28
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$141.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.1
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.8
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.07
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.96
JD Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.62
JD Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$69.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 91.6% 190 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 46% 200 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes 43% 160.55 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes 87% 100 shares
- Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 78% 23.04 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes 54% 100 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes 18.6% 100 shares
- Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes 84% 100 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes 39.2% 100 shares
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming 67.9% 100 shares