Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $28.62
- Potential payout
- $753.07
- Potential profit
- $724.45
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Polymarket Trader
RDB1408
0xe9d5a338a17f5f4b2a192d8a340a8c2250ad2489
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $63.68
- Realized PnL
- -$0.97
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $9.36
- Potential payout
- $171.71
- Potential profit
- $162.35
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $4.58
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $21.01
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $85.37
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.56
- Potential profit
- $102.56
- User PnL
- -$40
Y
Yes position
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $32.36
- Potential profit
- $27.67
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 7% 97.5 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 8% 97.5 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes 4% 753.07 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 39% 102.56 shares
- Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 2.8% 171.71 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 7% 71.42 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?Yes 22% 32.36 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.8% 106.38 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 7% 71.43 shares