Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.34
- Potential profit
- $666.34
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
MICHAELCHHEEN
0xe9e9ca7f3e2d6739507c5610fb31cc91d406f261
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $88.99
- Realized PnL
- $30.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $37.37
- Potential payout
- $111.56
- Potential profit
- $74.18
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$12.63
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $30.07
- Potential payout
- $36.01
- Potential profit
- $5.94
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $5.94
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $21.55
- Potential payout
- $22.36
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.42
- Potential profit
- $2.42
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 27.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.68x
- User PnL
- $22.4
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Yes 44.8% 111.56 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes 41.2% 2.42 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 27.8% 260.41 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 67% 36.01 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 7.5% 666.34 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes 91% 73.86 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 19.2% 260.42 shares
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No 80% 5 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89.4% 22.36 shares