No position
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.5K
- Potential profit
- $19.5K
- User PnL
- -$109.26
Polymarket Trader
Phenium
0xe9f2c2ffc2c23f781afa7dfed2bb06380804ddd0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $14.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.02K
- Potential profit
- $12.02K
- User PnL
- -$133.86
Yes position
Solana above $150 on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.09K
- Potential profit
- $5.09K
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- User PnL
- -$1.31K
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.21K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- User PnL
- -$432.09
Chiefs position
Chiefs vs. Broncos
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.83K
Temple position
Temple vs. North Texas
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$179.14
Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$7.2
No position
Will John Fetterman attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.92K
- User PnL
- -$33.46
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- User PnL
- -$434
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- User PnL
- -$818.14
Yes position
Will Russia capture Khotin before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- User PnL
- -$141.77
Chiefs position
Chiefs vs. Cowboys
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$889.26
Yes position
Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$11.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$909.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- User PnL
- -$501.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$335.98
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- User PnL
- -$12.05
Yes position
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$185.45
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$205.39
No position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$366.84
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$341.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $841.84
Yes position
India military action against Pakistan before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $793.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $745.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $708.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $688
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559.3
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.81
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.37
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.13
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETDown 80% 6.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETDown 78% 128.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETDown 77.6% 12.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETDown 70% 14.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETDown 59% 8.47 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes 20% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp 67% 149.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp 21.9% 91.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown 27% 92.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown 25% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown 29% 86.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 49.4% 830.27 shares