Polymarket Trader

0x3CAb0B86Af8727c572E631ccf19f56e8d2dfDAF0-1746403124845

0xe9fbf98d5429d5bf8843021822e8f5df2b4adbd0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $113.78
Realized PnL: $218.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $97.34
Potential payout: $556.24
Potential profit: $458.9
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $382.19
Potential profit: $382
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.81

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $96.35
Potential profit: $95.72
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$19.37

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Ends Jan 29, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $48.2
Potential profit: $45.07
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.66
Potential payout: $29.26
Potential profit: $25.61
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.34

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $7.09
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $3.11
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $2.09

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.65
Potential profit: $9.65
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.09
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.46
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Solana Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.66
Potential profit: $7.66
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.38
Potential profit: $7.38
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.82
Potential profit: $6.82
User PnL: -$1.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $6.17
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.45
Potential profit: $5.45
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Solana Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1.52

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$1

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96
Potential profit: $2.96
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.59

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.59

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.78

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.81

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Athletics position

Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

Down position

Solana Up or Down on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Yes 8% 25.12 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 18% 55.56 shares
Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Yes 7.9% 12.66 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 18% 27.78 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 18% 55.56 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 18% 55.56 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 19% 210.53 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 18% 55.56 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 127.23 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12.4% 16.13 shares