No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $228.04
- Potential payout
- $234.25
- Potential profit
- $6.21
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Polymarket Trader
PAntipov
0xea1d5ac2d4635a31a1fb6cab7653df4958ece993
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $577.74
- Realized PnL
- $3.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $108.44
- Potential payout
- $116.67
- Potential profit
- $8.23
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $99.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.9%
- Current value
- $42.45
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7.55
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $43.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $41.91
- Potential payout
- $43.57
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.47
- Potential profit
- $17.47
- User PnL
- -$16.91
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.45
- Potential profit
- $11.45
- User PnL
- -$1.23
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $4.82
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.98
- Potential payout
- $3.99
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
EU dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $2.65
- Potential payout
- $2.74
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11
- Potential profit
- $2.11
- User PnL
- -$2.07
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $1.78
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $977.74
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.3
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.43
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.74
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.47
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.46
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.02
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.19
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.59
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.71
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.41
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.71
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.41
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.7
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.12
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.3
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.28
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.13
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.6
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.04
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 86% 50 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes 94.2% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94.8% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95.3% 33.33 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 97% 11.24 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 97% 23.32 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 97% 11.24 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 98.1% 9.24 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 98% 17.42 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 98.1% 9.24 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 98.4% 52.55 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 98.7% 50 shares