Polymarket Trader

0xea21...ff2b

0xea21aef5fee3251527b3906f1dbff11dc2d8ff2b

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $97.85
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $6.89
Potential payout: $29.34
Potential profit: $22.45
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.03

No position

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $8.94
Potential payout: $15.29
Potential profit: $6.34
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $8.02
Potential payout: $15.28
Potential profit: $7.26
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $6.57
Potential payout: $14.76
Potential profit: $8.19
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $8.07
Potential payout: $14.03
Potential profit: $5.96
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $6.38
Potential payout: $13.72
Potential profit: $7.34
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $13.23
Potential profit: $6.88
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$1.06

No position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $9.7
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $10.13
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $10.04
Potential profit: $7.69
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $9.35
Potential profit: $4.3
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $8.68
Potential profit: $7.77
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.91

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $4.09
Potential payout: $8.61
Potential profit: $4.52
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $4.72
Potential payout: $8.13
Potential profit: $3.42
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $6.88
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $7.65
Potential profit: $2.94
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $3.17
Potential payout: $7.37
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 53% 15.28 shares
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?

Up 25% 10.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 22.9% 10.04 shares
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of July 6 2026?

No 52% 15.29 shares
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Yes 33% 11 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 43% 7.37 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 73% 3.89 shares
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?

No 74% 6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

No 65% 3 shares
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Yes 61% 8.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 79% 6.38 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 88% 6.07 shares