Polymarket Trader

smarttradder

0xea2837f7e7c552a4e34045fa206f97ffc50f3a0b

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.22K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $53
Potential payout: $200.02
Potential profit: $147.01
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$19

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $189.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $10.1
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$5.1

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $169
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $7.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $192.6
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $6.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $193.3
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $52.99
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $146.98
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: Other

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $198.67
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $40.2
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $79.8
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $9.53
Potential payout: $100.33
Potential profit: $90.8
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.51

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $100.03
Potential profit: $87.52
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $73.52
Potential payout: $100.02
Potential profit: $26.51
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $100.02
Potential profit: $95.87
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$6.45

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $92.51
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $87.51
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $12.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $58.5
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $41.5
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$6.5

No position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $60.5
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $78.5
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $21.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $81.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $18.51
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $94.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $89
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $72.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $47.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $68.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 5.2% 89.87 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 36% 58.26 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 37% 41.74 shares
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 4% 100 shares
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 9% 100 shares
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 98% 10 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 5.4% 100 shares
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 77% 100 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Yes 57% 38 shares
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Yes 3% 94.93 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 29% 100 shares