Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- User PnL
- -$131.97
Polymarket Trader
friendlyusername
0xea300cc5c9e63a64fb4c278fb418c0a21560f2a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.05K
- Realized PnL
- $1.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Y
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $821
- Potential payout
- $842.92
- Potential profit
- $21.92
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $354.73
Yes position
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $537.78
- Potential profit
- $537.78
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $470
- Potential profit
- $470
- User PnL
- -$9.77
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $424.65
- Potential profit
- $424.65
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $337.39
- Potential profit
- $337.39
- User PnL
- -$12.12
Yes position
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by 10-15%?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$50.4
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.6%
- Current value
- $154.61
- Potential payout
- $225.55
- Potential profit
- $70.94
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $190
- User PnL
- -$2.48
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 4?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.36
- Potential profit
- $122.36
- User PnL
- -$51.21
Y
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $76.18
- Potential payout
- $119.97
- Potential profit
- $43.79
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $12.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.66
- Potential profit
- $103.66
- User PnL
- -$12.29
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$37
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$7.8
No position
Will Trump say "Normandy" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.92
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $258.79
Yes position
Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by 5-10%?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.7
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.4
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.48
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.43
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.29
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.2
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.5
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.91
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.06
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.14
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $25.06
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.37
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.7
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?Yes 74% 62 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?Yes 54% 650.93 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?Yes 53% 129.99 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?Yes 53% 119.97 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 68.5% 225.55 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 53% 137.54 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 43% 54 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 38% 22 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 40% 22 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 39% 10 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 65% 30 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 66% 70 shares