Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$7.1
Polymarket Trader
yihong2270
0xea3427cee08ee576ad8511b12158015b932c33bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.93
- Realized PnL
- $28.28
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $793.4
- Potential profit
- $793.4
- User PnL
- -$30.23
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $190
- User PnL
- -$32.59
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.07
- Potential profit
- $111.07
- User PnL
- -$8.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.39
- Potential profit
- $97.39
- User PnL
- -$9.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.29
- Potential profit
- $20.29
- User PnL
- -$14
N
No position
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Ends Jul 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $5.84
- Potential payout
- $18.53
- Potential profit
- $12.69
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $15.09
- Potential payout
- $17.35
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.49
- Potential profit
- $12.49
- User PnL
- -$11.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.36
- Potential profit
- $12.36
- User PnL
- -$9.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
N
No position
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 12?No 99.9% 20.58 shares
- Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No 32% 18.53 shares
- Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 69.4% 8.56 shares
- Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 69.5% 8.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?No 70% 9.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 13?No 62.5% 18.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?No 76% 9.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 13?No 80.7% 17.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 13?No 76% 18.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 12?Yes 80% 5 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 75% 18.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 12?No 64% 13.18 shares