0xeA426C5D868E3C469749B3168a251423531BF39F-1780972632638

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.9
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.75
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.2
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 24.1%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.8
Multiplier: 4.15x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.2
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.78
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.83
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.95
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.48
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.73
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.73
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 23.4%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.83
Multiplier: 4.27x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.38
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.63
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or higher on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 56.2%
Current value: $2.81
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.19
Multiplier: 1.78x
User PnL: $1.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on June 20?